According to
Nate Silver over at www.fivethirtyeight.com and his fancy (and relatively accurate) model, there are
fewer and fewer scenarios in which that will be the headline tomorrow night/Wednesday morning. His post is definitely worth taking a look at in its entirety (it's not long at all with lots of nice visuals), but for the lackadaisical, here's the gist:
Also, there are some states that truly do appear to be "must-wins" for McCain. In each and every one of the 624 victory scenarios [out of 10,000 possible] that the simulation found for him this afternoon, McCain won Florida, Georgia, Missouri, Indiana and Montana. He also picked up Ohio in 621 out of the 624 simulations, and North Carolina in 622 out of 624. If McCain drops any of those states, it's pretty much over.
The partisans and pundits can predict and pontificate all they want - I'm putting my money on the computer simulation.
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